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    趣談香港股市(4): “阿媽都不認”

    上篇談到"股票必勝法", 今次我們講講股災。香港人看到一個股票跌得低殘,通常會感嘆一聲:“哇,跌到阿媽都不認!” (或者說:“阿媽都認唔到”。)什么是“阿媽都不認”?“阿媽”就是媽媽,“阿媽都不認”的意思就是連老媽都認不出來你是誰了,可見你定然遭受了很大的變故。柴門聞犬吠,風雪夜歸人,可是連永遠和你不離不棄的人都對你陌生了!

    看看下面這些熱門股票的52周最高價和昨天的收市價(單位均為港幣),你會明白貨真價實的“阿媽都不認”:

    港交所(0388.HK):268.6-->94.55 (-64.8%)

    中鋁(2600.HK):  26.35-->6.22 (-76.4%)

    阿里巴巴(1688.HK):40.5-->9.30 (-77%)

    碧桂園(2007.HK):14.18-->3.58 (-74.7%)

    世茂房地产(0813.HK):29.2-->7.73 (-73.5%)

    而二三四線股,尤其是“老千股”(將在下篇介紹),更加慘不忍睹:

    玖龍紙業(2689.HK):26.75-->4.01 (-85%)

    永安旅游(1189.HK):1.060-->0.042 (-96%)

    國中控股(0202.HK):0.2-->0.036 (-82%)

    安莉芳(1388.HK):7.69-->1.61 (-79%)

    利記(0637.HK):3.75-->0.45 (-88%)

    至于大市,恒生指數從去年最高位31,958點跌到昨日的20,484點,跌幅達36%, 國企指數從20,609點跌到昨日的10,714,跌幅為48%。不過這些相比香港股市歷史上的幾次大股災,真是小巫見大巫:

    1987年,由紐約股市拋售引起的全球大股災中,恒生指數跌幅达52.50%,其中僅10月26一天就下跌33.33%,為有史以來全球最大單日跌幅。

    1981年,受中英磋商遇挫影響,恒生指數連續下行兩年,跌幅達63%。

    最狠的一次則是很多老一輩投資人如曹仁超、林森池至今難忘的,那就是1973年股災。兩年之內,恒生指數下跌幅度達92%,很多投資人被迫走上絕路。關于這一段,曹仁超有如下回憶

    避過1973 年股災,我老曹自以為是投資天才,在股市中可以跑贏所有其他投資者。到1974 年7 月,恒生指數已由1,774 點跌至478 點跌了73%,應該入市吧!當時我選中買和記,由每股8 元開始一直買到每股1 元。結果1974 年12 月恒指跌至150 點時,自己的50 萬元投資只剩下10 萬元價值。

    下篇預告:“老千股”

    Comments (1)

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    Susanwrote:
    不少港股喪失了“紅底股”地位﹐嘿嘿。
    去年這個時候正熱炒港股直通車憧憬呢﹐現在回想起來﹐恍如隔世。
    Aug. 20

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